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20121027
20121104
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FOXNEWS 117
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is dead even. latest fox news poll of likely voters showing president obama and governor romney are tied at 46%. today the battleground states becoming a battlefield. >> president obama has seen a once steady lead in michigan decline two points. michigan is in toss-up status. the poll is from the detroit news. it finds obama leading romney 47-45%. that is the second poll in the week that has shown a tight race in michigan. >> it's not too late to turn this around. we can save medicare and social security. we can cut spending to get this budget balanced and pay off this debt. we can get people out of poverty and back to the middle-class. we can get america back on the right track and give our kids a debt free future. >> so ask yourself, who do you trust to be straight with you, to level with you. who do you trust to stand up for the middle-class and measuring? ladies and gentlemen, we are not. these guys, we are not in decline. they are in denial. >> you got fundamentals in this race. one of the fundamentals is the economy is horrible. you have the tea party that arisen since 2010. you ha
poll has romney ahead 50 to 48 in a buckeye state virtual tie yet there obama leads by two points in the real clear politics average of the recent ohio polls. romney went ahead with afternoon rally in iowa, but that is it for at least a day as the campaign takes a backseat to the storm. romney closing argument for final stretch is dubbed day one, job one, referring to the economy. he promises tax relief. north american energy independence. to repeal obamacare, block military cuts and balance the budget among other things. all of that is on hold. romney tonight will spend overnight in dayton, ohio, returning there without planned or scheduled campaign events tomorrow. it will likely be relief oriented but not clear it will take place in iowa. if the storm passed enough and opportunity to take part in recovery and clean-up action. possible mr. romney would head for the seacoast. at this point, all carefully choreographed final stage craft in final day of the campaign have been dashed. 200 hours less, really, before the election. exactly a week from tomorrow. the romney campaign does
us a look at early voting. polls showing governor romney leading president obama 52% to 45% among voter who's already cast their ballots. newt gingrich joins us, good evening, sir. your thoughts on the gallup poll of early voters? >> if it's accurate it's devastating for obama. obama played a tremendous amount of effort into building a ground game. they're confident they can turn the vote out early. they talked about it with a sense of achievement. if this is correct, it's a remarkable result. republicans have been saying during all of the snap shots well, don't worry about early voting because republican voters tend to be older, they love to vote on election day. all of a sudden these numbers i'm surprised and i frankly thought i would not have been surprised to see it reversed and see it obama, 52, romney, 45. so this is a shocking number. but it fits something that you may have seen late last week. gallup took all of this september questions, 19,000 people pretty big universe. looking at all of them together as one group. and said the surprise is that this electorate looks more
. if that is accurate, then virtually every poll we've seen is wrong, probably favors obama by three or four points more than he's going to get. all polls, poll sisters went in. they jiggered numbers to get back to a sample they believed was accurate. gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have adopted and you've heard me talk to this before, james carvel rule. he told me his standard was if you're the incumbent you've been in people's living rooms four years. they know who you are. you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably g
push. to that end, a pew research poll, very, have interesting that says nationally the obama campaign touched 14% of the electorate -- excuse me. 11% of the electorate with either door knocks or phone calls. mr. romney has gotten to 10%. very, very close. battleground, numbers are reversed. romney reached 14% of the likely voters in battleground states casting a ballot on tuesday. obama only got to 13%. they're even in the polls. aapparently they're even even in get out the vote effort. they're down to wire. no indication it will change in five days. >> dana: carl, thank you. we'll go to ed henry, with president obama in las vegas. ed, we have a new nickname for you coined by greg gutfeld. we thought you desevened one. election ed. take it away. >> reporter: i like it. that's great. just like campaign carl. bottom line, they are promising a new message for the president today. it will be more positive, less of the negative tone, ripping to mitt romney. this is his final case to what he did in wisconsin today, talking about what he would do in a second term. laying out that he wants to
it was all about. directly ahead. recent polling says president obama's job approval rating dropping then rebounding very quickly. what's going on with that and then, we will take you into the storm zone for some personal observations from our correspondent on the scene all day long. those reports after these messages. nobody said an inkjet had to be slow. or that printing in color had to cost a fortune. nobody said an all-in-one had to be bulky. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use, it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. are we there yet? are we there yet? [ male announcer ] it's the question we ask ourselves every day. is it the safest, the most efficient? the kind of vehicle to move not just people... but an industry forward? are we there yet? are we really? [ male announcer ] are we there yet? we are, for now. introducing the all-new seven passenger gl. motor trend's 2013 sport utility of the year. mercedes-benz. the best or not
are overwhelmingly in one direction and it mattered, then the polls would be wider in president obama's favor. >> the other thing i would point to is bill clinton was unmercifully mocked. >> and he got elected twice. >> there you go. bernie goldberg, ahead. directly ahead, senator john mccain on who will win the presidency. he has some passionate thoughts about the libya situation. and later on. bernard mcquirk forced to evacuate hit home on long island. he will tell us all about it upcoming. thermacare works differently. it's the only wrap with patented heat cells that penetrate deep to relax, soothe, and unlock tight muscles. for up to 16 hours of relief, try thermacare. >> personal story segment. there's perhaps known more qualified in the country right now to speak about the last days of a presidential campaign than senator john mccain. four years ago he thought he would win the presidency. no he has some very strong views on what will happen tuesday night. also senator mccain is furious, furious about libya. i spoke with him last night. senator, first of all, are you surprised that the l
, then the polls would be wider in president obama's favor. >> the other thing i would point to is bill clinton was unmercifully mocked. >> and he got elected twice. >> there you go. bernie goldberg, ahead. directly ahead, senator john mccain on who will win the presidency. he has some passionate thoughts about the libya situation. and later on. bernard mcquirk forced to evacuate hit home on long gecko (clearing throat) thank you, mr. speaker, uh, members of congress. in celebration of over 75 years of our government employees insurance company, or geico...as most of you know it. ...i propose savings for everyone! i'm talking hundreds here... and furthermore.. newcaster: breaking news. the gecko is demanding free pudding. and political parties that are actual parties! with cake! and presents! ah, that was good. too bad nobody could hear me. geico. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. >> personal story segment. there's perhaps known more qualified in the country right now to speak about the last days of a presidential campaign than senator john mccain. four ye
, but the state polls continue to show obama with a, some advantages in the electoral votes, so, i think both sides are looking at the polls and seeing hope. >> dan, let's step back briefly here, how important is this election? we always say the elections are the most important in x years, but i think this is the most important election since ronald reagan certainly in terms of setting the direction of the country and validating or not the huge expansion of government that barack obama has promoted in the first term. >> i agree, paul. i mean, historically the country is divided in the past century between the private economy and the public government. and there's always been a division of duties there. barack obama is trying to take spending from 20% of grosse pointe woods over the last 25 years up to about 23%. >> paul: for the starters. >> for starters and plus, make the federal government the lead role in the direction of the economy in a way that no previous president has ever done and i think that that is the decision the american people have to decide is whether they want washington, th
, the electoral map based on public polls from last week. you had states solid or leading obama in shades of blue with 237 electoral votes. and states solid or leading romney with 2306 votes and eight toss ups in yellow with 95 electoral votes and you need 270 to win the presidency. this is from last monday and this shows all of the states some of the leading obama and romney. any movement last week? >> well, we will know tomorrow night with our electoral college map but we are at a point where there is little movement, the momentum was on romney's side but the closer you get to the end, one of two things happens. the 1980 with rapid movement in one direction or we see what i think we are seeing, movement toward romney but slowing because we are down to the thin group of people. >>chris: do you have any sense of big movement? >> at this point the polls are less important than the early voting numbers, the actually people voting. take ohio, in ohio 1 109,000 fer democrats than now years ago allied for early, and 400,000 more republicans already, so there is a shift of 120,000 or 130,000 absentee b
played president obama in romney's debate appropriation, 18 electoral votes if play in a state obama won in 2008 by 4.6 points and now leading by 2.3 points in the latest average of recent polls. republican ron johnson of wisconsin, ten electoral votes at state, obama won by 14 points last time and now leading by 2.3 percent. democrat mark warner, obama woman the 13 electoral votes by 16 points four years ago and now is tried and democrat part udall of colorado, obama won nine electoral votes by nine points and the race now is dead even. senator portman, the state most people think may decide the race and that is ohio, the obama camp says they have a big edge in early voting in your state and they also note they have 137 campaign offices around the country but the romney camp has only 39. >>guest: well, you mentioned first of all the real clear politics average in ohio being 2.3 percent in president obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9 percent. that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning in ohio by the ohio newspapers, showing the race is a dead heat. t
obama's favor. as of this morning it is 1.9% actually and that is because the polls are closing. the latest poll was this morning an ohio poll by the ohio newspapers showing the race is a dead heat and that s what i feel. i also feel like the momentum is on our side. i have been at six of the rallies over the last week. i have also been at about a dozen victory centers around the state and the energy and enthusiasm is on our side this year. it is interesting to watch but look we were down probably 5 to 10 points before the debates. after the debates we are about dead even and moving our way. >> chris: senator warner your state of virginia is right in the path of that huge storm. if you lose power and you could lose it for days could that have an effect on early voting and even have an effect on election day? >> well, chris, the governor already declared a state of emergency. i think we don't have as extensive an early voting in virginia as other states. i actually, though, think in terms of how the president looks it looks quite good. the washington post came out with a poll tha
obama in every poll, when it comes to the economy, i would be nervous, even in the battleground state obama seems to be up one or two, these economic numbers will probably slump them on election day. >> greg: i think appearing on mtv is a great move for president obama because at the hard-hitting questions will be faced with journalists who think libya is a swedish folk singer. so there won't be questions about that. questions like who is your favorite avengeer? this is really important. but i got to say also thank god that during his economic malaise, president obama focused on the important stuff like childhood obesity, birth control, electric cars. this administration is so lost right now. they need to gps to find their own butt. >> eric: i hope that the most pressing question comes out, when he speaks to mtv. >> andrea: the same one that bill clinton got. boxers or briefs? you newhen you go to mtv you get to crux of the issues. >> greg: pretend serious questions. like this job must be really difficult for you. sound smart and sensitive. >> andrea: the problem is over half of youth
, women, and under 30, obama seems to have lost ground in the fox news poll compared to the exit polls from the 2008 election. you are also seeing in an erosion among independent voters. fox news poll shows that the president no polling as well as did he in 2008. other polls show a much greater advantage for mitt romney among independents, as high as 19%. >> bill: yeah. >> among independence. how this plays out we will see. in the end we have wanier and probably have a few winners among pollsters because there are different techniques and different strategies that pollsters have used and we will see who was more accurate. >> bill: all right, now, we have four days left. and there is a weekend news cycle. and i'm going to tell the folks something that's going to happen because, you know, i'm clay viewpoint as you know. >> o -- clair viewpoint as you clair viewpoint as you know. the cbs radio went all over the country. cbs radio is a powerful agent. they were ecstatic about the economy coming back. >> happy days are here again. >> consumer confidence suspect. anticipating better unemploy
. "fox news poll" showing him with a nine point ad vage over the president. with mr. obama on the campaign trail governor romney is sharpening the contrast with the president who is best to bring back prosperity for the nation. >> do you want the four more years like the last four years? >> no!. >> you want four more years where 23 million americans are struggling to have a good job? >> no!. >> you want four more years where earnings are going down every year? >> no!. >> you want four more years of trillion dollar deficits in washington? >> no!. >> reporter: governor romney drawing the sharp contrasts with government. do you want bigger government with stifling regulations or smaller leaner government to help the private sector to grow and create jobs. he dinged the president in a new ad today suggesting somewhere down the road he may appoint a secretary of business, watch. >> barack obama says he may appoint a secretary of business. his solution to everything is add another bureaucrat. why not have a president who actually understands business? >> reporter: now, as the pol
average, there are nine polls included in this. 48.9% for president obama. 46.6% for romney. it seems almost every day there is something new out of ohio. what are you seeing on the ground there? >> i like north carolina. the candidates have been in ohio so much they literally have become pests. they will be here through the weekend. obama will be here monday in columbus with jay-z and bruce springstein. they are pulling out all the stops. what i see on the ground is a close race. i saw a poll today i trust that has dead even. the candidates now are in posture of going through the bases. because they are only about 2% of the voters here who are undecided. p there are hundreds of volunteers doing that. i expect we'll see another 2% election here. if romney loses the presidency because he loses ohio by 2%. he will wake up every day for the rest of his life regretting that he did not choose senator rob portman of ohio as his running mate. he will also regret the editorial entitled "let driz go bankrupt." if obama loses by 2% for a simple reason. the magic is gone. after the drudgery of f
times" poll out today shows president obama doing very well in florida, ohio, virginia. dick morris going to have thoughts on that later. but, do you take that poll seriously? >> no, i don't take those three polls seriously. here is why. in florida, they have obama ahead by 1 point. they have seven points more democrats than republicans. even in 2008 there were only 3 points more democrats than republicans. similarly ohio 5 point margin for obama. 8 point advantage for the democrats. 8 points in 2008. does anybody think ohio is going to be as democrat as it was in 2008. 2 points for obama. 8 point democrat in 2008. six points democrat. does anybody think it's going to be as good as it was in 2008. at mildly that's called absurd. >> bill: let me run it down for the folks. all the polls say, all of them say that prib voters are more motivated this time around. so when when mr. rove says do you think it's going to be the same democratic turnout in ohio as it was in 2008. the answer based on the data is no. because republicans are more motivated this time around than they were. secondly
at the individual polls in the yellow states which are the states that are undeclared. >> gregg: that's where obama has an edge? >> he has an edge in iowa, an edge in minnesota. he has an edge in wisconsin. most of all, ohio and wisconsin. that puts him over the -- >> i saw an iowa poll with romney ahead. i saw one where he had florida. >> i think florida will go to romney. north carolina and virginia. 15 or 20 polls in those swing states in the midwest -- >> i'm not sure i believe that. >> breaking 85, 90% obama. >> i'm not sure i buy that at this point. i think polling is so difficult right now. the people's response rates. i'm just saying -- by the way, some pollsters, we will have an execution on wednesday for somebody. >> i hope it's not me. >> i hope not either for your sake. >> gregg: last jobs report came out on friday and unemployment number ticked up from 7.8 to 7.9. does that make a difference? >> probably not. i think it was enough so that obama can keep talking. let me say about the hurricane and the jobs report. the hurricane forced obama during the last week to do what the three of u
not great. more people disapprove than approve. that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> t
poll showing governor romney closing the gap. he is is now tied with president obama be. each of them with 49% of wisconsin's likely voters. the national polls painting an even grimmer picture for the president. this poll showing governor romney ahead by three. the governor with 50% of the vote and president obama with 47%. dick morris joins us. good evening, dick. >> good. i heard a great joke yesterday. if obama is reelected imagine the mess he will inherit. >> okay. i'm sure that the obama campaign will like that but the romney cam -- won't like that but the romney camp will enjoy that a bit. looking at the polls tonight, wisconsin in four years ago, president obama stormed the state by 14 points. thth does seem to be a seismic shift in the state. >> there is. wisconsin has become a republican state by virtue of the incredibly intense organizational efforts there of governor scott walker's people, americans for prosperity and various other political groups that have really mobilized the free market forces in the state. they have been through a recall election. a senate recall. a ju
showing the moment ump has shifted in ohio. if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> s
? a fair and balanced discussion coming up. and a new poll shows european prefer obama to romney, something that is not the tiniest shocking. greg? >> nice, andy. >> i don't know what that means. >> what, thanks, andy? >> yes. >> you know what, maybe you don't deserve the thanks. >> maybe i just never heard it before from you, greg. >> let's welcome our guest, you jerk. well, she is so british she sneezes earl graty. it is quite messy. i am here with author and political commentator imogeth lloyd webber. that's three names. her latest is called "the twitter diaries" and if hilarity was a seafood restaurant he would have crabs. you get a new job every week. it is michael money -- moynihan. >> i keep getting fired. >> sitting next to me is the brother of gavin mcguiness, miles mcguiness. she a crusader for honesty and justice in a country that knows neither. he is a film maker and poet currently between jobs. >> a block. >> the lede. that's the first story. >> did obama fibia? in the last head to head, one issue was left unsaid. yep, in monday's debate in foreign policy, allegedly mitt romney
'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ahead. ras
the president's ahead. in 11 national polls, romney has more than 50% and in one poll, barack obama has over 50%. in a poll today, romney has a 60-point lead among enthusiastic voters. so i think if the race is frozen in time, it's to the governor's advantage. >> the ppp poll shows among independent voters, a 16-point advantage. 66% disapprove of barack obama. to the degrethere are persuadable voters in the tight election contests and the small number 7 states. it is right now, looking like those are going to break toward governor romney. >> we will see, the issue is clearly favorable for obottom a. the auto buyout has hurt romney significant. the issue environment in virginia, i live in northern virginia, gifavorrable to obam a. i think you will see a very interesting election night. i think we will be looking at a few of these states. we may be up very late. but obama is doing well in the states he had to win to get over 270 electoral votes. i think romney is hurt by some of the outrageous things that the senate candidates in missouri and indiana have said about a woman's right thochoose. rom
-mentum or falling away as barack obama. the polls are showing that mitt is going ahead in ohio, rasmussen shows he's the most reliable guy. the other pole polls that show mitt mind are sampled in favor of democrats. but gallup's overall national poll, early voting, mitt's ahead by 7 and 6 points respectively. if you have a national margin that great. ohio will be swept through. ohio is a major republican state. can you thinkham pointed out, the only time it went for a democrat is when you had a lacklasture republican presidential candidate, which we do not have this time. romney is strong, joe. >> you know, sean -- wait. david, let's look at the reality. let's look at where they have been. yesterday, romney spends all day on three stops in florida, a state that should be a done deal. by the way -- and then obama spends all day today in wisconsin, a state he would have thought would have been locked down by now. just their two schedules alone show you -- you know, how tight this is and that they are both trying to lock down states like florida and wisconsin that should have been in the bag for eith
by president obama where the polls have always trended towards democrats this year. not towards mr. romney and the g.o.p. pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. romney's home state. in the last few days, there have been a handful of polls that the gap has narrowed and romney made ground and come within the margin of error in those states and now he has begun to advertise. these are states the obama campaign is very very confident about. david action sell rod said he would shave his mustache off if he lost any of them. that's a staches has had for 40 years. tough hurdle for mr. romney to clear in ohio. in the last 48 hours or so there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the
polls show president obama and romney running neck-and-neck, there are signs that the momentum may be shifting. it could have something to do with how americans view the candidates. look at this daily tracking poll showing the president's approval rating plunging. losing 7 points in a few days. quite a jump. david hawkins from cq roll call daily briefing joins us. >> good morning. >> seven points. that's a big difference, more than we've seen in a while. how much weight do you place in the poll? >> it happened this spring. to be honest i'm skeptical of this poll. gallup, as you may know, seems to have been tracking a little bit more negative towards the president and positive towards romney than all the other polls. it is also what -- it's interesting that there doesn't seem to be a reason why, in that one week, which started the morning of the debates and goes until friday, what about the job performance caused a swoon. potentially after the debate he became a full-time candidate so maybe people said he should do things more presidential. who knows, maybe his reaction to the storm
polls in three states that were traditionally democrats leaning obama, and president obama won in 2008: pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. michigan, of course, is romney's native state and polls suggest obama has the lead but mitt romney has closed the gap to the margin of error. obama campaigns scoffs at this and senior obama advisor axelrod said if they lost any of those he would shave off his mustache of 40 years but mitt romney has considered headed there a sign they think the playing field is expanding beyond the seven states that have been hotly contested and present the romney campaign opportunity to put obama on defense and have the offense ease the path to 270. very, very close, six days left, polls suggest everything is tight and no way to know who has the edge. so, no time for napping, either. >>shepard: i was hoping you got a nap while everyone else was working. >>carl: not a chance. romney is staying busy. >>shepard: thank you, carl cameron. massive gridlock around new york city, 4.3 million people use the subways and there is no subway. commuters returned to work and
not be thatcy but it is a sign that mitt romney sees the polls shifting to obama in nevada and not mitt romney. pennsylvania, he is going, and wisconsin we are there, where the polls have narrowed and wisconsin because of paul ryan's addition to the ticket. that is a state they did not expect to have a shot. pennsylvania is a key player if you believe their calendar and spending and decision to go there. it would potentially help out if it went wrong in ohio, the romney campaign still says they are confident they can pull it off in ohio but recognize that president obama got steam there the last couple of days, so, pennsylvania could be part of a replacement strategy combined, perhaps, with ohio and colorado. ohio is always central to the victory central joy and he is doing a lot of scrambling and it could be a contingency plan but when the polls get this close with a lot of money lying around, spend it. >>shepard: why not. the obama campaign and mike emanuel is with the president near columbus ohio. we her from the president on job creation. how is he going after governor romney today? >>repo
. that is grouch by seven or eight points, president obama won -- there is a 16-point swing in many of these polls. is that the difference? >> it is the difference. if you go to some of the battleground states, independents by definition are going to pick the winner of that state. that is huge. i think the other thing that not talked about enough, generation gap. a whole lot of attention about the young voters. that are going to vote for president obama but don't know how many will show up. seniors are leaning toward governor romney and enthusiasm is way up compared to 2008. >> sean: if you look at the independents and add the intensity and you add new republican voters you have a formula for success, at least for governor romney. now, we have to go state by state. this is an electoral college vote. do you see a scenario in which romney would win a popular voted and lose the electoral college? >> it is possible. i think for that to happen, romney would have to win the popular vote by less than one point. it could extend a little more than that. >> sean: let's go to florida. interesting poll i foun
shown obama up in five polls, very close. >> sean: you are the only ones that have him up? >> most of the polls show it close. i think this is going to be a state that is going to be all about the turnout on election day. >> gregg:. >> sean: according to early voting, obama is not doing that well and romney is doing better. you wrote a column and wisconsin may be the new ohio. no republican has gotten to the white house except through ohio. if romney was to lose ohio but if he wins the other three states fh he wins. >> it is possible. that makes wisconsin a divisive state. if we go to to the early states, romney wins florida and virginia president obama wins ohio, then can romney wins a state that obama won by 14 points. >> paul ryan is very popular in wisconsin. >> there three things. state changed between 2008 and 2010 that helped walker. then a huge battle over walker's plan. the recall effort forced republicans to build a great organization that has been turned over to the presidential campaign. polls are very close. paul ryan is added to the particular. nationally biggest thin
it even if the polls about even and even if obama has a lead of one or two i suspect the undecided votes are going to go to mitt romney. i have a pretty good feeling about ohio. and if he wins ohio, i think he wins and maybe president obama could feel the same way about it. this is probably the key state. >> greta: why do you all leave, ohio, and spread out across the country? why don't you all just stay in ohio if that is so important, got to get every vote there. >> because you got to make sure you win the others too. you have to make sure you win, virginia, and win colorado and win wisconsin and you win florida. florida you can't take for granted. florida is just as critical. maybe more in ohio. we all feel i think. >> greta: it looks like we have some satellite trouble. we have lost the mayor. we -- the governor, of course, you see on the screen here. just to give you sort of a heads up what has been going on in ohio today. westchester, ohio and this is supposedly one of the biggest rallies that governor romney has had as they sort of move into the closing part of this campaign. at t
to give up. ohio has been an obama advantage in the polls for many, many days. romney campaign say they have caught up. new poll out from ohio, consortium of newspapers that mr. romney's momentum is not an actual tie at 49-49 apiece. >> harris: carl cameron, literally from the road. once again we'll carry that event live in ohio with governor romney and paul ryan coming up. >> gregg: sit down and put on your seat belts. making me nervous. >> massive cover-up or incompetence? very strong words from senator john mccain on the administration's handling on the attack on the u.s. consulate in benghazi libya that killed four americans including our u.s. ambassador. mrz lawmaker calling for the immediate release of all surveillance video gathered during that deadly attack. national security correspondent jennifer griffin joins us live with the late. what requests went unanswered according to your sources? >> remember, my source was on the ground at the c.i.a. annex. i'm told about 9:40 when the first shots were heard, woods and other operators asked the c.i.a. base chief for permission to
. the latest poll shows governor romney in a dead heat with the president both at 48% and as obama is relying mainly on the quote auto bailout for a victor arery in the state, voters are more concerned about the overall economy. romney is leading obama when it comes to the handling of the economy. joining us is michael barone. what do you think? >> what is happening in ohio? well, this was one of the three firewall states. the obama campaign wanted to concentrate on three states where they got the lowest winning percentages in 2008 except for indiana and north carolina which they conceded, florida, ohio and virginia. since the october 3 debate, florida seems to be gone toward mitt romney. he has been winning almost all polls this. virginia has been even tending a little toward romney in my judgment. ohio has been a little stickier. are the auto bailout is an issue there. if you look at the polls what you will see is white noncollege voters. a group that was 58-40 for john mccain nationally four years ago are not giving romney in ohio that much of an edge. and so i think there is some gain tha
the newest numbers as this campaign now one week from today, the latest national polls show the momentum is still very much with mitt romney. juan is very worried, and then the most vial pro obama ad to date, this one courtesy of left winger michael moore. we'll play it for you tonight and it will make you sick as hannity continues. [ female announcer ] think a thick cream is the only way to firm skin? challenge the need for such heavy measures with olay. regenerist micro-sculpting serum for firmer skin in 5 days. pretty heavy lifting for such a lightweight. [ female announcer ] olay regenerist. fomeet the 5-passenger. ford c-max hybrid. when you're carrying a lot of weight, c-max has a nice little trait, you see, c-max helps you load your freight, with its foot-activated lift gate. but that's not all you'll see, cause c-max also beats prius v, with better mpg. say hi to the all-new 47 combined mpg c-max hybrid. >> sean: in just one week voters head to the polls and decide what is without question the most important election of our lifetime and with just seven days remaining until the ra
polls, making news in battleground state, expanding the map into obama territory and he had to pull himself from the campaign trail and he is trying to find that argument. the momentum is gone, sapped. now, look, we have a jobs number tomorrow, the continuing questions in other quars and other ways to get back in this thing. but he lost 3 prime days, you were going to be working it and and hitting it at every stop. >> stand by, panel. extremely sensitive documents unorfed in the rubble of benghazi three weeksar after the benghazi three weeksar after the attack. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's build a strong foundation. let's invest in our teachers so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. de and ♪ ♪ you can help others along the way. ♪ ♪ a portion of every bottle that they sell goes to fight ♪ ♪ breast cancer and i think that's swell. ♪ ♪ the more
for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents widely four years ago. john kerry won among independents 8 years ago in the battleground states. so this is a big reversal. can the president lose independents that badly and still win? there is a good chance that the independents look different. a lot of them are probably republicans, calling themselves independents because they are disaffected with the party and they are tea partyers. but it is a major shift to see independents, people who call themselves independents not going for president obama. you ask the romney folks and they say, this is a sign of weakness. this says our guy is very much in the mix, despite the battlegrounds. >> greta: steve, which team would you rathe
was a woman. i went to the polling station and pulled back the curtain and voted for barack obama. >> sean: joining me now with reaction from americans for prosperity jennifer steve >> gives me free birth control and. >> that a all we need. the president is not the first one to use virgin voting humor, right? >> really. >> don't you remember? don't you remember who said i know what it feels like to vote republican for the first time? it actually hurts a little bit but then. >> sean: who said that? >> then it feels just great. >> ronald reagan. >> sean: he did not! he did not! >> i need to fact check that. fact check that. >> sean: i have to fact check that. was that a regan ad? >> ronald reagan. he was quoting a line. >> he was a quoting. >> he was talking to someone about being a democrat. talking about being a democrat and then crossing the line and voting republican. >> i don't find this ad insulting at all. what i find insulting that the president of the united states allows the benito attack to happen and allows a united states navy seal to die after he calls for backup and nobody fro
point obama states. how to they he look close to being even or not polls you cited even states and that is places where romney could win even if he doesn't win, ohio. >> sean: who is winning this race? >> mitt romney. >> sean: michael barone. thanks for being with us. appreciate it. >> chris matthews is playing the race card and this time attacking governor palin. desperation in full force at nbc news. we'll play you the insane comments, next. smoothest riding. it's got the most torque, the smoothest suspension, the best storage, class-leading comfort, and a revolutionary collection of versatile accessories. introducing the all-new, 60 horsepower ranger xp 900, a whole new class of hardest working, smoothest riding. get huge rebates on 2012's and low financing on all models during the polaris factory and loauthorized clearance.dels >> a dog whistle is a dog whistle. >> shock and jive has an ethnic connection. not necessarily bad. it's slang. it doesn't mean evil. but to throw it at the president as an ethnic shot, pretty blatant. >> that was chris matthews, playing the race car
with the national average, and here's a look at the real clear politics polling average showing president obama up three points in michigan. bill ballenger is back with us now to talk about what's going on in michigan. so, bill, how do these polls compare to what we've seen over the last couple weeks? >> they're tighter. mitt romney has pulled within shouting distance of the president. this is very much like 2004, john kerry led bush by about this margin, about 3% about a week out, and john kerry actually ended up winning michigan by about that margin, but the bush campaign had kerry so worried that he came in to michigan on sunday before the election to campaign. the difference this time around is neither candidate has come to michigan personally since early summer. jenna: and, bill, that was something you brought up to us a couple weeks ago. you said, listen, it's very important that both candidates get on the ground in michigan, and neither have. what do you make of that? >> well, i don't think obama has felt he needs to get here. i think the obama campaign has been pretty confident they alread
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